The UFC 100 odds are in their eleventh hour and, while most of us have done our homework and placed our bets, there are still a few names out there that perplex us—the fighters who make us say “Who’s that guy?” Knowing some extra intel on the no-names could make or break your night at the offshore sportsbook, so let’s review a few non-household names.
Who the heck is...
Paulo Thiago?
He’s a Brazilian police officer who took the UFC by storm when he knocked out Josh Koscheck in his debut. Since his UFC 100 betting opponent, Jon Fitch, is Koscheck’s teammate and has a similar skill set, does that mean you should place a bet on massive underdog Thiago (+300) to beat Fitch (-400)? Not necessarily. Almost all of Thiago’s previous victories came via submission. In other words, this Jiu-Jitsu specialist is by no means a knockout artist, so his knockout win may have been a fluke. He was arguably losing the fight before catching Koscheck with a Hail-Mary uppercut. Since Fitch’s chin is so good—even the powerful Georges St-Pierre couldn’t knock him out—don’t bet in your sports predictions on Thiago dropping him. He’s more likely to try and submit Fitch, and the chances of that happening are slim. Fitch hasn’t been submitted since his first career fight seven years ago and he’s a fantastic wrestler. Even though Thiago is undefeated at 11-0, he’s one “no-name” I’d avoid in your UFC 100 picks.
Yoshihiro Akiyama?
Here’s a relative unknown who’s actually a household name overseas. Akiyama, a veteran Japanese kickboxer and Judo fighter, is ranked by MMA Weekly as the No. 10 middleweight in the world. He’s a versatile fighter, capable of big throws, knockouts with his hands or feet, and submissions. His opponent for UFC 100, Alan Belcher, is supposed to be a stepping stone, but Belcher is still a good enough fighter that he’ll test Akiyama. A win over Belcher would legitimize Akiyama’s hopes for UFC success, while a loss would make him look like a bust. Based on scouting reports and sportsbook software predictions, he should win, so I’d go with Akiyama.
Friday, July 10, 2009
UFC 100 Betting - The Unknown Fighters
Tour de France Betting - Contador, Armstrong Chasing Nocentini
While the UFC 100 fight card will be on the minds of many sportsbook betting players this weekend, you can't forget about Tour de France betting as cycling's biggest event heads into its eighth stage on Saturday. The
Brice Feilli won the seventh stage, and the first mountain stage in the competition, while previous leader Fabian Cancellara finished the race just over nine minutes after Feillu to drop out of the top spot. Nocentini picked up the yellow jersey and he leads Contador by six seconds, and Armstrong by eight. Contador was actually two seconds behind Armstron before the stage began, but a late push for the finish line allowed him to leapfrog his teammate. Much ahas been made about whether these two rivals could work together on the same team, and Armstrong didn't force the issue when Contador broke away, staying just close enough to still be a threat according to gambling software.
The seventh stage is actually the longest on the course this year, while Sunday's ride is one of the shortest, but it's all mountains, which shows you who the best conditioned rides are. This is where we expect Contador, Armstrong and the rest of the Astana team to put a gap between them and the Tour de France betting pack.
Braves-Rockies Lines Preview
The Atlanta Braves and the Colorado Rockies will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at Coors Field. Ace righthander Starting this game for the Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total. The Current streak: Team records: Colorado: 46-39 SU Atlanta most recently: When playing on Friday are 4-6 Before playing Colorado are 5-5 After playing Colorado are 7-3 After a loss are 4-6 Colorado most recently: When playing on Friday are 4-6 Before playing Atlanta are 4-6 After playing Atlanta are 3-7 After a win are 6-4 A few trends to consider: Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta Colorado is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta Next up: |
Reds-Mets Lines Preview
The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at Citi Field. The Reds will give the ball to starter Bronson Arroyo in this one. Righthander Arroyo is 8-8 this season with a 5.85 ERA. It'll be Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total. The Reds were defeated 9-6 by the Phillies last time out, as +130 underdogs. That game's 15 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (10). The Mets were pounded 11-2 by the Dodgers last time out, as +135 underdogs. That game's 13 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (9). Current streak: Team records: When playing on Friday are 4-6 Before playing NY Mets are 4-6 After playing After a loss are 5-5 When playing on Friday are 5-5 Before playing After playing LA Dodgers are 5-5 After a loss are 3-7 A few trends to consider: Cincinnati is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing NY Mets Cincinnati is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati NY Mets are 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games Next up: NY Mets home to |
Pirates-Phillies Odds Preview
The fans at The Pirates will give the ball to starter Duke's opponent in this one will be Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total. The Pirates were shut down 5-0 in the series rubber match to the Astros on Wednesday, as +150 underdogs. That game's five runs went UNDER the posted over/under (8). The Phillies clinched their four-game series with a 9-6 victory over the Reds on Thursday, as -150 favorites. That game's 15 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (10). Current streak: Team records: Philadelphia: 45-38 SU Pittsburgh most recently: When playing on Friday are 5-5 Before playing Philadelphia are 4-6 After playing Houston are 5-5 After a loss are 4-6 Philadelphia most recently: When playing on Friday are 4-6 Before playing Pittsburgh are 7-3 After playing Cincinnati are 7-3 After a win are 5-5 A few trends to consider: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh Next up: |
Indians-Tigers Odds Preview
A winning streak will be on the line for the Detroit Tigers on Friday when they battle the Cleveland Indians at Ace Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total. The Indians scored in bunches early and then held on for a 10-8 victory over the White Sox on Thursday, as +110 underdogs. That game's 18 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (10). The Tigers scored early and held on for a 3-1 victory over the Royals in Wednesday's series finale, as +115 underdogs. The team's played UNDER the posted over/under (8). Current streak: Team records: Detroit: 46-38 SU Cleveland most recently: When playing on Friday are 6-4 Before playing Detroit are 5-5 After playing Chi White Sox are 6-4 After a win are 3-7 Detroit most recently: When playing on Friday are 6-4 Before playing Cleveland are 4-6 After playing Kansas City are 7-3 After a win are 6-4 A few trends to consider: The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Detroit The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit Cleveland is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland Detroit is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 11 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Cleveland Next up: |
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
