Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Vegas Line Moves NBA, Baseball Betting Notes for Free Picks Sports

Joe Duffy’s Picks continues to roll and has a substantial night thanks to intel like this on today’s portfolio. We will take a look at public betting trends on tonight’s NBA but first fantasy baseball and MLB betting news and notes.

Two picks, two Wise Guys, two winners. The Hawks and Warriors lead us to yet another sweep to go to 11-5 in the NBA playoffs. The Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has another NBA side selection winner for Tuesday. Joe Duffy has written articles on SportsNetwork, Bleacher Report, and Examiner; appears on national TV and network radio, featured in Sports Betting Review videos and more.I have added three MLB winners led by a Wise Guy and at least one Dandy Dogs, which are moneyline underdogs of 140 or more. Yep that is five winners in three sports. Best sports betting picks at http://www.offshoreinsiders.com

Cards Lance Lynn has a 6.00 ERA last three starts allowing five or more runs in 2-of-3. Lynn faces Cleveland’s Carlos Carrasco who has a 6.23 ERA and .908 OPS last three starts. Detroit’s Alfredo Simon has allowed 9 runs and 14 hits in his last 9.1 IP.

Cincinnati prospect Anthony DeSclafani has not gotten past fifth inning in any of his last three starts. Tampa’s Chris Archer 5-0 1.93 to the Bronx Bombers. Betting experts wonder about regression to the mean as Texas Nick Martinez had a 0.35 ERA in his first four starts but 4.22 the last two. Houston won 11 straight with Collin McHugh and he has 2.54 ERA in span. A rejuvenated Miami pitcher Dan Haren has allowed two or fewer runs in 5-of-6.

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Chicago Bulls laying 5.5 with a total of 190. The line has stayed steady, but the total is down two points. Fifty-five percent of the betting public prefers Chicago with 71 percent investing in the over. The Los Angeles Clippers are at Houston Rockets laying 3.5 with a total of 218.5. LA only opened as a 1.5-point chalk with the first posted total at 219. A momentous margin of 71 percent are staking on the Clippers, 65 percent on the over.

Monday, May 11, 2015

Favorites to Win Preakness Stakes 2015; Order Of Kentucky Derby Finish

The odds for the 2015 Preakness Stakes are out and they look quite similar to the finish of the Kentucky Derby. American Pharoah is a 5/7 favorite to take the second leg of the Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing.

Much like the Run for the Roses final results, the Pimlico Race Course feature race has Dortmond and Firing Line next at 5/1. Oddsmakers do not expect the win, place, and show party to be crashed, as Materiality is the No. 4 contender at 16/1.As is always the case, the Preakness field has been greatly slimmed down from the Derby. Danzig Moon is next at 18/1, Divining Rod at 20/1, and Bodhisattva as 35/1. Getting no respect is the longest shot Tale of Verve at 50/1.

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy nailed the top four finishers in the Kentucky Derby, with the win and place horses being inverted and nailing three and four in order. He continues his years of Triple Crown and Breeders Cup domination at OffshoreInsiders.com

Wizards vs. Hawks NBA Betting Picks Preview

The Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards playoff odds for Game 4 of their best-of-seven series have been posted. Trailing two games to one, the Hawks are 4.5-point road favorites with a total of 199. The total has remained steady, but the point spread is up a full-point. Washington is again expected with be without star John Wall.The Wizards have the top net rating in the postseason at 9.2.

Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions. Atlanta is just seventh at 3.5. The Wiz are tops in offense getting 108.6 points per 100 possessions to just 104 for Atlanta. The teams are a bit closer on the defensive end with Washington allowing 99.4 points per 100 possessions to the Hawks 100.5.After a 32-10-2 start to the season, the Hawks are just 19-26 against the spread. This includes 3-8 the last 11 with four of the setbacks by at least 10.5 to the number.

Washington is 8-1 their last nine. In their last seven games, their margin of cover is 9.21. Some call this stat the sweat barometer.Washington has gone over 8-2 with seven by five or more points and five by at least 9.5, In fact three have exceeded the total by 21.5 or more.Spread trends (all records against the spread): Atlanta 3-13 Conference Semifinals games, 33-16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 29-14 on one day rest.Washington is 6-23 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 8-18 to Southeast division.Over/under angles: Washington over 6-0 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The series has gone over 6-of-7.

Tonight’s best sports handicapper picks Oh baby. Joe Duffy has hit 9-of-14 in the NBA and today is a beautiful one. We have Wise Guy sides on both NBA games. The intel we have will leave you speechless at OffshoreInsiders.com

Wednesday, May 06, 2015

Baseball Betting Previews With SBR Forum And Top Sports Handicapper in History

Sports gamblers have nothing short of a great card Wednesday in the NHL playoffs, NBA playoffs and MLB betting. It all starts with Joe Duffy’s Picks:

It would be an understatement to say that Wednesday night is the best night of the NBA playoffs as we have Wise Guy bets on both NBA playoff sides. You will be blown away as to why. Oh yes you will. Improve on that 6-3 NBA run. Get four MLB winners, all for night action, led by MLB Underdog of the Week. We have both NHL sides led by a Wise Guy. Without question this is one of the great all-sports betting portfolios in some time. There are a total of eight winners led by four Wise Guys in three different sports. Get the bets now at OffshoreInsiders.com

Also Stevie Vincent is 15-7 the last 22. You have to be somewhat batshit crazy if you bet without the King of Offshore Stevie Vincent. He has hit two underdogs of 131 or more along the way. Wednesday the dossier is led by a Level 5 pro baseball over/under, not to mention the biggest side and over/under bets from pro basketball. He is also up at OffshoreInsiders.com

At press time Power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine has not been released. The MasterLockLine has the top plays from the top sports services in their highest ranked sports.

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Sports Gambling Preview NBA Playoffs Hawks-Wizards

The Washington Wizards and Atlanta Hawks do battle in Game 2 of their best-of-seven NBA playoffs series tonight. While there is no dispute Stevie Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com has the best bet on tonight’s contest, we break down the sports handicapping preview.

Atlanta is a 6.5-point favorite, up a half-point from the opener. The total is 198.5, which is down a half-point from the first posted total. Public money has 53 percent of bets on the underdog Wizards with 64 percent of bettors choosing the over. After getting off to a splendid spread start, the Hawks are only 18-25-2 recently after a 32-10-2 start to the season. They are 2-7 their last nine by -4.55 points per game against the spread. Washington has been a covering machine, cashing in seven straight with four of the last five by at least 11 points. Their margin of cover last five is -11.1 points per game. Washington has gone under 7-of-8 and 8-of-10, going over by an average of 13.1 in the latter span.

The Wizards have the best net rating in the postseason at +16.1. Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions. Washington has the best playoff offense at 112.2 points per 100 possessions with the Hawks in the middle at 103. However, it is two of the top five playoff defenses, Washington at No. 2 allowing a mere 96.1 points per 100 possessions, Atlanta 100.8.

Get every MLB and NBA sports handicapping pick necessary for today’s betting portfolio at OffshoreInsiders.com

Monday, April 27, 2015

Baseball Betting Tips: Third Paragraph Left Me Speechless and Will Astound You Too

So many of our top sports angles are counterintuitive. A high percentage of systems that have won at least 80 units or have a z-score of 4.5 or better involve betting on bad teams and pitchers and/or against quality teams and pitchers. These angles help us anticipate regression to the mean, isolating overachieving and underachieving teams. This advantage is heightened by the fact the public fancies betting on superior teams, hence while squares pay a premium betting overpriced squads, we get a discount on the posted sportsbook odds.

While this paradigm applies in all sports, certainly not equally. At one extreme, college football is the only team game in which mother lode conventionalities often actually favor the better-quality squad. However in baseball, the semblant paradoxes (to the commoners) are furthest magnified. There are two obvious whys and wherefores. As I have stated countless times, oddsmakers overvalue pitching, so baseball levies higher imposts in select situations than reality justifies. Furthermore oddsmakers must account for taking bets from plebeians, who are even more un-persuaded by steep moneylines than lofty pointspreads. To quote the single worst degenerate gambler I have ever known, “They don’t charge juice when the bet wins.” Those would be words to live by if a gambler hit 100 percent of bets. The sharp riposte is that in moneyline betting, bookmakers do not disburse recompense based on winning percentage.

In baseball betting, many of the most profitable gamblers in the world have winning…and I do mean, “winning” percentages of less than .500. For example if a starting pitcher has an ERA a full three runs higher than the other starting pitcher, the public will salivate at the thought of betting on the better pitcher. They would have lost 89 units if they staked on said situation every time the line was -150 or higher. Betting on the vastly inferior pitcher would have won you 20.8 units. However in the process the winning bettor would be 282-498, hitting just 36.2 percent of bets. Or to put it another way, to the aforesaid degenerate, the bookmakers does pay juice when our underdogs win.

Two terrible starting pitchers (both with ERAs of 5.00 or higher) are facing each other. It must be a higher scoring game right? So bet the over. There is one problem: such games go under at a 722-610-62 rate. Counterintuitive anticipation of mean regression proves invaluable again.
Of course, some uncultivated bettors may point out that is only 54.2 percent winners. One could make quite the living riding angles that hit better than 54 percent over nearly 1.400 games. However keep in mind, quoted stats are not our preeminent angles, just a few that demonstrate how contrarian reasoning pays dividends. All systems are only part of the preponderance of evidence before making a bet.

So how about two pitchers with ERAs of less than 2.00 going head-to-head? Did you surmise it would be wise go over instead of the knee-jerk under? You would be correct as such situations have gone over 632-548-46. At 53.6 winners, that is a lukewarm angle at best, but the extreme value is avoiding the impulsive bet to wager on two superior pitchers under. Turning that frown upside down is a substantial net gain. Please note that all quoted angles go back to 2005. Lateral thinking when applied to sports betting means vertical profits. In baseball betting, thinking outside the box translates into significant capital gains.

Getting winning intel like this every day converted to winners from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com

Saturday, April 25, 2015

MLB Betting Sports Service Guru About to Change Life For Gamblers and Ruin it For Sportsbooks

Baseball bettors tend to a gift to every sportsbook and bookmaker because of their propensity to bet on big and often losing favorites. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com is about to change the life of gamblers with a video in which he reveals his basic secret. He then explains why MLB is more of a buyers beware for those shopping for sports services.

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

NFL Draft Odds Posted; Marcus Mariota Props, Jameis Winston Projected First

NFL Draft Odds Posted; Marcus Mariota Props, Jameis Winston Projected FirstNFL draft odds are posted at many offshore books. The two highest profile players in the draft are the two most recent Heisman Trophy sensations, Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota. Once considered a dead-heat between the two, the former Florida State signal caller Winston is an exorbitant 2/13 favorite to be drafted No. 1. This means gamblers would have to risk $130 to win $20. He is at 4-1 to go second or lower.

The erratic stock of the most recent Heisman winner Mariota is back on the rise according to most respect mock drafts. The team currently in possession of the second pick, the Tennessee Titans are the favorite to get him. Sports betting experts do not trust that the Cleveland Browns are buying into Johnny Manziel purported lifestyle epiphany as Cleveland is tied with the New York Jets are 7/2 to be Mariota’s landing spot on draft day.

The complete list from Sportsbook.ag is below:

Which team will draft Marcus Mariota?

Titans 7/5
Browns 7/2
Jets 7/2
Buccaneers 4/1
Rams 15/2
Redskins 12/1
Chargers 15/1
Bears 18/1
Bills 20/1
Texans 20/1

Over/unders are posted on three top wide receivers: Amari Cooper at 5.5 (with slight juice on the under), Kevin White at 7.5, and Melvin Gordon at 21.5 (juiced to the over). Though oddsmakers believe the top two picks could be quarterbacks, no other signal callers are likely to go in the first round. The over-under on quarterbacks selected in round one is 2.5 but under odds are a very steep 2/13 with over unlikely at 4-1. For sports handicapper picks from nation’s top betting experts visit OffshoreInsiders.com

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Sports Handicapping Free Plays; NBA Odds Rundown

The Boston Celtics-Cleveland Cavaliers, Washington Wizards-Toronto Raptors, and Dallas Mavericks-Houston Rockets betting odds top the sports handicapping roundup for April 21. With Washington, Houston, and Cleveland leading the respective series 1-0, here is how the public consensus is shaping up as well as line moves.

The Cavs are a steady (-11) at home with a total of 207, also unchanged from the opener. The only double-digit favorite on tonight’s betting portfolio has gotten 71 percent of the sportsbook bets in Vegas and offshore, the top consensus of either the side or total on any NBA playoff game today. Though the public tends to prefer wagering on the over, 56 percent of bets are on the under.

Toronto is (-5) unaffected from the opening line. The total has risen two points to 207. The consensus is 61 percent are betting on the Raptors and 59 percent on the over. Houston is (-6) up a half-point from the first available line with a total of 215.5 up from 214. Sixty-two percent are investing on the home chalk, with a surprising 54 percent taking the under.

A free pick tonight is a premium play from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com.
BOSTON (MILEY +117) Tampa (Archer)

We have an early season underdog angle with very specific parameters that has won 207.4 units. Please note: the reason the units jumped is I more accurately identified as underdog including laying up to -104 because they are underdogs as opposed to pick or plus after juice as previous units won was based. Also we redefined early season based on game number rather than month. Also starting pitchers with an ERA above 10.00 who are not getting at least 130 are solid bets at 236-212 for +14.2 units.

Oh that is far from impressive and does not even quality as corroborating data, but it does tell us not to be deterred by the rough start by Wade Miley. Tampa has lost three straight. Tampa is 1-5 at home -4.2 units hitting just .202. Road team is 3-0 in Chris Archer’s starts this season. Wade Miley is 2-0 to Tampa with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 1.050. Archer is 1-4 to Boston with an ERA of 6.03 and a WHIP of 1.805. Rays are 1-7 in Archers last 8 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The free winner is on the Red Sox. Joe Duffy’s Picks keeps winning. We are 66-54 with 55 underdog winners. Yes after 120 picks we have more underdogs that have won than all picks combined have lost. In fact 18 winners were of 130 or more.

Get more info and winners at OffshoreInsiders.com

Monday, April 20, 2015

May weather vs. Pacquiao Odds, Free Sports Picks, Betting Previews

With several weeks of betting in on the highly-anticipated Floyd Mayweather versus Manny Pacquiao fight, Mayweather is a 20/41 favorite with Pacquiao at 7/4. However, there are many sportsbook options long before that battle takes place, not the least of which is tonight.

Tonight the NBA playoffs roll along. Up one game to none, the Chicago Bulls host the Milwaukee Bucks. Chicago is (-7.5) with a total of 186.5. Currently 74 percent of bets taken against the spread are for the Bulls with 62 percent favoring the over. Also leading 1-0 in the series, the Golden State Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans. Golden State is the choice of 68 percent who placed a wager on the spread. An overwhelming betting consensus is putting an ante on the over at a substantial 88 percent. Also Joe Duffy’s Picks, the hottest and top all-time MLB handicapper has a free premium pick on the Reds.

CINCINNATI (DESCLAFANI +105) Milwaukee (Peralta)

We have an early season underdog angle that is +207.3 units and you have already won a ton this season with it. While the Reds offensive numbers are not exactly impressive, their OBP, slugging, batting, average, and OPS are all better than Milwaukee. Milwaukee is 2-10 for -9 units this season. They are 0-2 with Wily Peralta. Milwaukee is batting .217 and is last in the majors with 30 runs, a .267 on-base percentage, a .303 slugging percentage and three homers, including none in the last six games. The Brew Crew have the worst home run percentage in MLB since 1948. Anthony Desclafani has a 1.38 ERA and tiny .769 WHIP. Reds are 16-6 in their last 22 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400 and 42-18 overall versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .400 or less. On the other hand The Brewers are 5-25 in their last 30 when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game.

There are also three NHL games tonight with the New York Rangers -115 road favorites at Pittsburgh, Minnesota -135 at home to St. Louis, and Winnepeg -140 at home against Anaheim.

Duffy has a stunning 10 bets of the professional gamblers in NBA, MLB, and NHL at OffshoreInsiders.com

Monday, April 13, 2015

Sports Picks For Free: MLB Baseball Sports Handicapper Tips

Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com has a free underdog betting winner. Despite never-ending heartbreak in extra innings, Joe Duffy’s Picks has 24 underdog winners in our 27-23 mark. With our domination of underdogs and small favorites, hitting .500 over any long period will make you serious cash. We have five daytime winning picks led by a Wise Guy. Wait until you see all the intel that points very specifically at one team all at OffshoreInsiders.com

Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Vegas Oddsmakers Beg You Not To See Breathtaking MLB Gambling Intel Revealed

Vegas Oddsmakers Beg You Not To See Breathtaking MLB Gambling Intel RevealedJoe Duffy's Picks is the anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces their roots to the 1980s on the scorephones. Did you know the steroid era helped the best sportbooks but its elimination is a godsend to the sharpest bettors? Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy reveals all in this video. Check out the sports betting Twitter feed for inside intel every day.

Monday, March 16, 2015

Odds March Madness 2015 NCAA Tournament and Big Dance Vegas Pointspread

Selection Sunday is over and the bracketology of the 2015 NCAA Tournament is set. The odds are posted from sports betting podcast host and OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy. Get the sportsbook odds.

Keep checking OffshoreInsiders.com for famed Tailgate Party updates and previews.

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

March Madness 2015 Betting Advice

Entire card 1:00 ET or later We just keep winning! Joe Duffy's Picks is 20-11 in college basketball. Actually lately even hotter in the conference tournaments. We are 12-3 in the NBA led by Interconfence GOY on Knicks. My word we just keep winning. We have day and night college basketball. Steam added at 11:37 ET. We now have nine winning picks in all at http://www.offshoreinsiders.com

Pittsburgh-NC State
Pittsburgh is 7-20 the last 27. They enter on a three-game straight up losing streak and lost by nine and ten points against the spread last two. State 6-1 the last seven, three by nine or more.

Colorado State-Oregon State
Oregon State 2-10 the last 12, three times in the last six games they have failed by 13.5 or more.

Rutgers-Minnesota
Minnesota 344th luckiest of 351 teams. Rutgers at 87.

Air Force-New Mexico
New Mexico DeShawn Delaney out. Games 30 PPG 11.8 RPG 5.3 Steals 38 BLK 18 APG 2.0

Eastern Michigan-Bowling Green
Bowling Green Richaun Holmes is questionable. Games 29 PPG 14.7 RPG 8.0 Steals 20 BLK 78 APG 0.9 George Mason-Fordham Eric Paschall is probable. Games 26 PPG 16.5 RPG 5.6 Steals 21 BLK 11 APG 1.0

Southeast Louisiana-McNeese State
SLE Zay Jackson doubtful Games 25 PPG 15.4 RPG 4.5 Steals 33 BLK 8 APG 4.6

NBA


Brooklyn-Miami
Brooklyn back-to-back and three games in four days.

Orlando-Milwaukee
Orlando back-to-back and three games in four days

Detroit-Golden State
Detroit back-to-back and three games in four days while Golden State three games in four days.

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