Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Sunday, September 20, 2015
The Dallas Cowboys are at the Philadelphia Eagles and Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has a free pick against the spread on the contest.
PHILADELPHIA -5.5 Dallas
The Cowboys over the years have clearly better with DeMarco Murray, who is now with Philly. Murray struggled last week, but will certainly be primed to bounce back against Jerry Jones, the Cowboys owner who miscalculated when trying to re-sign Murray.
But so much worse is that WR Dez Bryant is out. He is far and away their best offensive weapon. The other wide receivers Terrence Williams, Cole Beasley, Devin Street are below average. Jason Whitten will have to have huge game, but the Eagles can totally focus on him.
Probably their best defensive player is Greg Hardy. The newly acquired DE is suspended. Last week’s great comeback by Dallas overshadowed Pokes struggled to a bad team in the NY Giants.
The Eagles Sam Bradford shook off rust early, showed why he was hand-picked by Chip Kelly. Against Dallas last week, the Giants had guys open all night said game film, with Kelly’s schemes Eagles will score big.
Seven NFL winners are up led by two Wise Guys including Home Underdog Game of the Year for Joe Duffy’s Picks. We also have one of our highly anticipated NFL moneyline underdogs. We have been winning in the NFL for 29 seasons and Sunday is just another short chapter. Joe Duffy’s Picks is 28-14 with all Wise Guy plays, so many MLB underdogs.
The Grandmaster has added two MLB Wise Guys, which have been primary source of our incredible recent run, though decades long it is every sport. Get Duffy’s winners now at OffshoreInsiders.com
As is usually the case, the public is unloading on road favorites in the NFL. Baltimore laying 5.5 on the road to the Oakland Raiders is preferred by 85 percent who placed a spread bet on that contest. However, the Miami Dolphins laying the same number at Jacksonville is actually favored by 87 percent. Tennessee -1 at Cleveland has 80 percent of bets. The most popular totals bet is San Diego and Cincinnati OVER by an 83-17 margin.
Get official betting preview of several NFL games for Sunday from Sports Betting Review and OffshoreInsiders.com
Key betting and fantasy football injuries include Bears WR Alshon Jeffrey very doubtful, Bills RB LeSean McCoy questionable. Of course Texans RB Arian Foster remains out. In addition to Bryant, the Giants Victor Cruz, Cardinals Andre Ellington, and Redskins DeSean Jackson are topping the list of players who are out.
Wednesday, September 16, 2015
The NFL Thursday Night Football game between the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs is not following normal form when it comes to betting trends, though Clemson vs. Louisville is.
Kansas City opened as a 1.5-point favorite and has been bet up to -3 and -120. The total has dropped from 46 to 41.5. Gamblers prefer to bet favorites, though Kansas City has garnered a modest 55 percent of bets, with 69-of-100 on the over.
Clemson is laying -6 on the road with a total of 52. The line is up 1.5 points from the opener with the total down two-points. Sportsbook trends have 72 percent betting on road favorite Tigers with a stunning 77 percent putting their hard-earned money on the over.
In Louisville for the college game, weather should be no factor at all with temperatures very comfortable in the upper-to-mid 70s with winds never exceeding 6 mph.
At Arrowhead Stadium, meteorological conditions could be a factor. Thunderstorms could be a factor with likelihood increasing as the game goes on. However winds will decrease starting at 9 mph at game time but dropping.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Sportsbook trends for the ESPN double-header are showing that gamblers are sticking to the usual tendencies and biases. As per usual, the public favors the road favorite and the over.
NFL bettors are confident of finishing off a spectacular week 1 of betting with the traditional week 1 Monday Night Football double-header. At 7:10 ET, the Philadelphia Eagles are at the Atlanta Falcons laying 3-points on the road with just -105 juice. The total is 54.5. The Minnesota Vikings are at the San Francisco 49ers. The Vikings are laying -1.5 with a total of 41.5.
In the early contest, 75 percent of spread bets are on the Eagles with 74 on the over. A similar ratio is on the 10:20 ET kickoff with 72 percent on the Vikings and 73 percent on the over.
Now for spread betting intel on the two games:
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Philadelphia is 10-4 MNF, while Atlanta is 2-7 on turf.
Over/under angles: Philadelphia has gone over 4-0 MNF and 7-2 overall. The Falcons have gone under 9-3 overall.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Minnesota is 0-6 on Monday Night Football, while San Francisco is a stunning 23-6 under the same situation.
Over/under angles: San Francisco has gone under 6-1 at home, while Minnesota has gone over 7-2 on Monday Night Football.
Joe Duffy’s Picks college and pro, pre and regular season combined now 29-14. Oh we won in MLB too. In fact, despite so many underdogs and small favorites we are 26-14 overall. We are 25-12 with Wise Guy. Get the early side and total Eagles-Falcons at OffshoreInsiders.com
Sunday, September 13, 2015
The Hilton handicapping contest consensus results are in and very strong agreement bets have evolved for week 1 NFL picks. As is generally the case, road favorites rule the day insofar as Joey Bagadonuts favorite bets.
Miami Dolphins laying three-points at Washington Redskins has gotten 70 percent of wagers, followed very closely by Green Bay Packers -6.5 at the Chicago Bears with 68 out of every 100 bettors laying the lumber in the Windy City battle.
Sports handicappers are not buying into Rex Ryan turning around the Buffalo Bills, at least not in week 1 as the Indianapolis Colts, Buffalo’s foe this week is favored by 66 percent of gamblers.
The most popular home team is the Arizona Cardinals at home to the New Orleans Saints with 65 percent. However, with home field advantage worth three-points, the fact that Arizona is laying only one-point means the public is actually backing the perceived inferior team, an uncommon tendency.
As far as totals bets, three unders, the Browns-Jets at 71 and the Panthers-Jaguars, and Chiefs-Texans both at 69 are tied with an over the Giants-Cowboys on Sunday Night Football as the most widespread over/under wagers.
The famed Hilton SuperContest has a different road chalk as the most popular bet: 664 contestants chose the Miami Dolphins over Washington laying 3.5. Aforementioned Arizona is next at 589. However, shockingly a road dog, the St. Louis Rams getting four to Seattle are next with 474 picks. The Jets and Packers round out the top five at 381 and 380.
Going back to preseason, Joe Duffy’s Picks is 13-4 in the NFL and we are literally just getting started. We are 23-11 with all Wise Guys many being MLB underdogs and are 25-12 with all football since preseason.
Get six NFL winners for Sunday, including SNF total and a day Wise Guy as Joe Duffy’s Picks has dominated the NFL since the mid-1980s scorephone days more than any handicapper has in any sport all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monday, August 31, 2015
College football kicks off Thursday, September 3 with two 6 ET starts, South Carolina vs. North Carolina and Florida International and Central Florida. Several public consensus-betting trends have emerged.
A significant harmony among bettors is laying the big number on the road with TCU getting 80 percent of the bets as they are laying 14-points with five-to-ten cents extra juice. At some sportsbooks the line is (-14.5). As is often the case, college football gamblers are not hesitating to bet a big number with 78 percent of wagers on Arizona laying a stunning 31.5 at home to UTSA.
The two other spread bets also seeing at least 70 percent of wagers are both large road favorites. Oklahoma State (-24) after opening at (-19) is supported by 72 percent of picks at Central Michigan. Likewise Ohio (-8.5) is getting 70 percent at Idaho. There is a reverse line movement on that though as the Bobcats opened as double-digit favorites laying a full 10 points. The line movement is significant as 10 is considered a key number by gamblers.
Percentage wise the strongest bet of the day is Florida International and Central Florida to exceed the total with 88 percent of bets saying the game will have more than the low posted over/under of 46.5.
The aforementioned OSU-CMU contest also has handicappers making a statement on the total with 77 percent putting their money where their mouth is expecting more than 54.5 points to be tallied.
Perhaps the most significant line move has been Vanderbilt going from a 2.5-point home favorite to Western Kentucky to a two-point underdog.
Joe Duffy's Picks is already sizzling with football picks, going 12-3 the last 15 in preseason NFL. At press time, he already has two more winning premium picks, the first two of the college football season at OffshoreInsiders.com
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Fresh off a 6-2 week last week in the NFL, Joe Duffy’s Picks is ready to win some more at OffshoreInsiders.com. Here is a slice of the sharp players clipboard!
Going against off a home win, undefeated in the preseason is 57-35. It favors Patriots. Carolina is without WR Kelvin Benjamin for the season, so may use this dress rehearsal as opportunity to find replacements. Patriots wideout Julian Edelman it out.
KC with two extra days to prepare as Tits played Sunday night. KC does run 4-3 defense, which Tennessee sees in practice.
Going against off a home win, undefeated in the preseason is 57-35. It favors Titans. Titans tight end Delanie Walker and nose tackle Sammie Hill would both play in Tennessee’s third game of the exhibition season.
Walker, who caught 63 passes for 890 yards and four touchdowns last season, had been out after injuring his thumb in practice Aug. 6.
Hill, who sprained his knee during offseason workouts, began training camp on the physically unable to perform list before being activated Aug. 10. Last season, the seven-year veteran made 33 tackles, with three sacks.
Matt Cassel, Tyrod Taylor, and EJ Manuel are still in a QB battle for Bills. Bills have been very cautious with WR Sammy Watkins and he is questionable. Percy Harvin is very doubtful for Bills.
Mike Vick signed by Steelers which shows Landry Jones failed in bid to win backup job.
Robert Griffin III. The first two games have seen Griffin complete just 46.2 percent of his throws. Colt McCoy and Kirk Cousins have been more successful, but coach Jay Gruden said Tuesday that the team isn’t diverting from their plan to give Griffin all of the work with the first team. Star WR Desean Jackson is doubtful. Jackson led the league with an average of 20.9 yards per catch last season.
Cornerback Orlando Scandrick is out and the Dallas Cowboys are very thin at CB.
Tampa WR Mike Evans is out.
Texans linebacker Jadeveon Clowney it out.
Miami could be down to its third-string left tackle in the so-called dry run for the regular season. Ryan Tannehill been the most-sacked quarterback the past three seasons with 139 and his offensive line is very thinned.
Miami already has major questions at guard with two starting jobs still open. Now, the Dolphins have added more issues at left tackle. Tannehill is on a nice run during the preseason and is completing 81 percent of his throws.
Atlanta signed veteran QB Rex Grossman indicating the backup spot is very much up for grabs.
Josh Johnson has been cut by the Bengals meaning A.J. McCarron is the backup.
Packers WR Jordy Nelson is out. The Green Bay Packers could be without three of five starting offensive linemen led by guards T.J. Lang and Josh Sitton as well as tackle David Bakhtiari.
LB Manti Te’o is questionable for San Diego. Prized rookie and Heisman runner-up Melvin Gordon is expected to finally play at RB for the Bolts.
Brian Quick had been the Rams leading receiver last season when he went down with the injury. He had 25 catches for 375 yards and three touchdowns in seven games for St. Louis.
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Daily fantasy sports MLB and preseason betting intel has been released. The man featured on ESPN Joe Duffy breaks down NFL betting and Major League baseball pick intel.
Ravens starters will play very little, but rookies and backups will get plenty of chances to shine.
Lions rebuilt OL. Jets Geno Smith out after being sucker punched. Big distraction. He was having a good camp and slated to start Thursday. Ryan Fitzpatrick, who played for OC Chan Gailey in Buffalo, will be expected take over as the Jets’ starter in the meantime. Rookie Bryce Petty is also on the roster.
Pettine said the Browns starters, with Josh McCown the QB, figure to play about a quarter in the preseason opener. Assuming QB Jonny Manziel is cleared to play, he’d likely figure with the second group. Thad Lewis is batting Conner Shaw for No. 3. Shaw has shown improved arm strength.
Redskins, Robert Griffin III will play about one quarter with the offensive starters. Defensive starters are also expected to play a quarter. Minor injuries have limited practice time of Skins DBs. Tackle Joe Thomas is questionable for Browns. Washington thinned at TE because of injuries. Fourth-round draft choice Jamison Crowder has been impressive at WR but is out.
Pokes likely to start FA rookie Gus Johnson at RB. John Randle and Darren McFadden. Dallas also ravaged by injuries at DT. Jack Crawford, who’s usually a defensive end, moving inside. Dez Bryant WR, is also out for Pokes.
Packers may play everyone who travels. Jimmy Garoppolo to start, with Ryan Lindley, serving as the primary backup. The team is expected to be without starting tackles Nate Solder and Sebastian Vollmer on Thursday night, as well as starting center Bryan Stork. Meanwhile, rookies Shaq Mason and Tre' Jackson -- both fourth-round draft picks -- have been the starting guards through 11 training camp practices.
Bears starters on offense and defense will only see 12-15 snaps. Chicago is expected to go more smash-mouth this year. Miami starters will play a full quarter at the most. Expect some starters, such as left guard Dallas Thomas, right guard Billy Turner, and perhaps kicker Caleb Sturgis, to get extended looks.
Tonight’s best sports handicapper picks Joe Duffy's Picks, the NFL Specialist, has a Wise Guy side and Major play total for Thursday NFL. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy's Picks are widely accepted as the strongest bet in gambling at OffshoreInsiders.com
Thursday, July 09, 2015
The SEC West preview is forthcoming, but here are the odds and some bullet points for the SEC East:Though the top two contenders are from the West: the state of Alabama in fact, Georgia is given the best chance from the inferior division at 5/1.In the video preview, the top sports betting expert in college football explains that with the dominant running game and improving defense, put a checkmark next to the Dawgs to be an UNDER team among other likely betting tendencies.Tennessee is next insofar as divisional contenders at 10/1.
The Vols go from hunter to hunted. Can QB Joshua Dobbs, who went from third in depth chart to star of rising SEC contender, show he is no fluke? It is a watershed year for Butch Davis’ squad with 17 starters back from 7-6 straight up team. Because they are everyone’s chic dark horse, look for them to be “predictably unpredictable,” further explained in the broadcast.
As far as linemakers are concerned, five of the six biggest long shots to win the SEC are from the East.Will Missouri surprise for the third straight season? Oddsmakers give them minimal respect again at 18/1. They lost three starting WRs in consecutive years, leaving just 10 career catches among returnees. They have an unproven OL, however their LBs are very good. Pro gamblers see a regression to the mean, but HC Gary Pinkel has proven experts wrong, so keep an eye on them as money line underdogs.
The Will Muschamp experiment at Florida is over. The second coming of Ron Zook’s “defense wins” philosophy, the Gators were stout when the other team had the ball, but again we find out winning with defense requires a great offense. Of course Joe Duffy's Picks clients will miss one of our favorite head coaches to fade.The talent is still much stronger on defense, but the coaching upgrade alone will improve offensive production.
Tough to get a handle on O/U but coaching upgrade means the Gators will be sounder. At 30/1, despite the brand name, the Gators will be undervalued.South Carolina is also 30/1. USC lost QB Dylan Thompson, all-time single season passing leader topping many question marks on offense. Jon Hoke was brought in to improve defense as DC. It was a disaster last year, but not as bad as numbers indicate. Hence we look for the Cocks to often offer great value on the UNDER.
While Kentucky at 100/1 and Vanderbilt at 300/1 may offer little interest to the average fan, they present splendid value for top sports services and gamblers from Billy Walters picks on down as the film documents.
Tuesday, July 07, 2015
In betting with Marathonbet UK of course we have exploited conditions where the public prefers: squads that are much better at home. This is so often the case with young and inexperienced teams early in the season.
Please visit approved sponsor DuffyVideo.com for video montages for Bat Mitzvah and Bar Mitzvahs.
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
CUBS (HAMMEL +115) LA Dodgers (Greinke)
The Dodgers are 2-6 the last eight for -8 units. Yes they lost eight units the last eight games. The Cubs are 10-5 the last 15. Going with NL home teams with a starting pitcher ERA of 3.70 against a pitcher with a WHIP Of 1.050 or better is +80.6 units.LA is -12.6 units on the road at 12-18, with the Cubs are 19-13 at home. Everyone knows how great Zach Greinke has been, but Jason Hammel has a 2.89 ERA and .976 WHIP in 13 starts despite his home games not exactly in a pitcher friendly ballpark.LA 1-7 road versus an opponent with a winning home record. The are a horrific 2-9 as favorites of 150 or less.
Some other top angles that apply today
- Twins are 11-1 +12.5 units after consecutive games stranding five or fewer runners
- Milwaukee over 12-1 at home versus an opponent with a bullpen WHIP of 1.250 or less in the last 15 games
- Cleveland 6-16 -16.9 units at home to AL teams averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game this year
- Philadelphia over 10-0 on Tuesdays this season
- Atlanta over 24-7 following a win
- Mets 2-15 -14.3 units on the road to NL teams averaging 4.3 or fewer runs per game
Tonight’s best sports handicapper picks The fact Joe Duffy’s Picks is outperforming the rest of the industry is nothing new. It is par for the course. Now we are even outperforming ourselves. We win again (despite briefly marking up a loser as a winner, now corrected after logging into sportsbook and noticing). Of course the AL Central Underdog Game of the Year proves to be money in the bank. So, are you one of those who insist it is okay to be on the outside looking in?Now get the absolute best portfolio of the season. We have eight winners led by four, yes four Wise Guys.
This includes the MLB Game of the Month. Yes it is the strongest portfolio of the season. What, there is a favorite that has a .136 slugging percentage less in their last five games than their opponent. Which chalk is 36-92 under the situation that applies tonight? Oh we have an angle that has won 222.3 units and it applies several times today all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Monday, June 22, 2015
Most disturbingly, he bet “extensively” in games he played in.However, there is no evidence that he ever bet against his own team either as a player or a manager.While many touts brag about betting large amounts on sporting events (a laughable marketing ploy argument blown out of the water by pros), Rose is proof that large bets are often square bets, once losing more than $15,000 in a single day during March Madness.Most baseball fans are oblivious to the fact that re-instatement of Rose would mean his election to the Hall-of-Fame. These are two separate subjects.
It was the belief of OffshoreInsiders.com that Rose would likely be re-instated to Major League Baseball posthumously, but would never come close to election to Cooperstown.Rose would only be eligible for enshrinement by the Veterans Committee, most members are considered adversarial to the all-time hits leader’s inclusion.
It is now the belief of OffshoreInsiders.com that the latest news will prove irrevocable and ensure Rose’s permanent banishment.We look forward to opinion polls likely to come out soon to see how many Pete Rose apologists remain hard-core.
Sunday, June 14, 2015
Exactly 60 percent of against the spread wagers are on Cleveland today at the sportsbook with 61 percent favoring the under. A stunning 68 percent favor Cleveland to pull the upset and win outright based on moneyline wagers posted.
Duffy and Peter Loshak take a look at daily fantasy sports and sports betting tips for today in MLB.
Now to MLB, a free pick from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
LA ANGELS (SHOEMAKER +100) Oakland (Gray)
Great pitchers on bad teams are among the best go-against situations. Oakland is 2-5 the last seven. They have a lousy .305 OBP and .368 slugging in that span.LA has won three straight. Go with home underdogs with a starting pitcher whose strikes out five or more batters per start, stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season is +115.8 units including +10.6 this year and +71.3 last five years. Built on pitching and defense, Oakland is -20.6 units.In their last five games the Halos has a slugging percentage of .454 compared to .358 for the A’s.
Athletics are 15-36 in their last 51 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and 9-25 if their opponent scored two or fewer last game. Anaheim is 10-2 with Shoemaker as an underdog and 23-10 his last 33 overall. LA is 8-2 at home in the series.As great as Gray has been, Oakland is -1.3 with him. The scary thing is he cannot pitch any better. What happens when he is less than stellar?
Saturday we go 4-1. Heck we even won an extra inning game, staring my kryptonite in the face. Joe Duffy’s Picks has had winning days 9-of-12. This is the biggest all-sports portfolio since the conference tournaments in CBB. Get 11 winners in all: the NBA side and total plus three MLB Wise Guys and six Majors. We literally have it all. If you want to be on the outside looking in, please place a few bets and keep the bookmakers in business for our clients at OffshoreInsiders.com
Thursday, June 11, 2015
Nevertheless 59 percent of bets against the spread have been placed on Golden State with a stunning 70 percent expecting an over as this total continues to plummet each game. Insofar as this contest, the side and total remain steady from the opener.Cleveland has covered 6-of-8, with the two setbacks by a combined seven. The average margin of cover is just above 10 points per game during that span, called by some the sweat barometer.Golden State has gone under 12-3 the last 15, seven by double-digits. The Warriors are still tops in the postseason in terms of net rating with 7.9. Cleveland is second at 7.2. Net rating is the difference between offensive and defensive ratings points per 100 possessions.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Cleveland 15-3 to West.
Over/under angles: Golden State under 7-0 off spread loss, under 10-4 road. Cleveland under 37-17 on one day rest.
Joe Duffy’s Picks continues to dominate NHL, NBA, and especially MLB at OffshoreInsiders.comNow to some MLB trends and DFS notes for Thursday:
- Texas 7-0 road to AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better for +11.4 units
- Baltimore 26-6 under to AL starting pitcher with ERA of 4.00 to 4.70. That record is over the last two years
- San Diego’s Andrew Cashner has allowed a combined 12 earned runs on 19 hits in his last two starts
- Seattle JA Happ 3.31 ERA, including 3.09 his last five starts. He is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in four career outings vs. Cleveland
- Miami David Phelps at home 0-1 with a 5.50 ERA in five games
- Angels Garrett Richards 8.01 ERA last three and struggled in last four
- Mets Jon Niese 7.96 ERA over his last five starts
- Milwaukee Matt Garza turning it around. Despite 5.09 ERA overall, it is 3.18 last three starts