There are plenty of NCAA football betting matchups to enjoy on New Year's Day but nothing compares to the Rose Bowl. The BCS tilt pits the No. 3 and No. 4 teams in the nation against each other.
(4) Wisconsin Badgers (11-1) vs (3) TCU Horned Frogs (12-0)
Saturday, January 1, 5:00 p.m. ET
Odd son this game:
Betting odds on this game: favorite: TCU -3
Was there a better team in the country for spread betting this season than the Wisconsin Badgers? Their ATS record of 11-1 matched their straight-up record. When they won, they won big; nine of their 11 wins came by double-digit margins. They're clearly a hot team for bettors, 6-0 against the spread over their last six, but not all their trends are positive. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS over its last eight non-conference games and 1-4 ATS over its last five against the Mountain West Conference.
Given Wisconsin's hilarious offensive explosion this season, in which it topped 70 points three times, it's no surprise that their
Betting trends favor the OVER massively. Eight of Wisconsin's games went over this year, including seven of its last nine.
Turns out there was a better bet than Wisconsin this year: TCU. The Horned Frogs beat the spread in every single game this season. It doesn't get any better than that. Like Wisconsin, however, TCU isn't as comfortable outside its own conference. The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS over their last five non-conference affairs.
TCU trends toward the UNDER much more than Wisconsin does. Six of the Horned Frogs' last seven bowl games have fallen under the total. In their last 18 games against teams with winning records, the point total has gone under 12 times.
Wisconsin is solid pretty much everywhere statistically. Its 43.3 points per game average is fifth in the country and its 248.8 rushing yards per game is the 12th-best mark. Between James White, John Clay, and Montee Ball, the Badgers had a whopping three players with at least 864 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns.
Supporting Wisconsin's 20th-ranked offense is the 21st-ranked defense in the country. The Badgers are best against the pass, allowing only 191.8 yards per game (24th).
TCU is the national standard for defense, leading the country with just 215.4 total yards allowed per game. The Horned Frogs are first in passing yards and points allowed plus third in rushing yards allowed. Andy Dalton leads the nation's 53rd best passing attack but, like Wisconsin, Texas Christian relies more on the run. The Horned Frogs' 260.5 rushing yards per game are good for eighth in the country.