Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Sports Handicapping Free Plays; NBA Odds Rundown

The Boston Celtics-Cleveland Cavaliers, Washington Wizards-Toronto Raptors, and Dallas Mavericks-Houston Rockets betting odds top the sports handicapping roundup for April 21. With Washington, Houston, and Cleveland leading the respective series 1-0, here is how the public consensus is shaping up as well as line moves.

The Cavs are a steady (-11) at home with a total of 207, also unchanged from the opener. The only double-digit favorite on tonight’s betting portfolio has gotten 71 percent of the sportsbook bets in Vegas and offshore, the top consensus of either the side or total on any NBA playoff game today. Though the public tends to prefer wagering on the over, 56 percent of bets are on the under.

Toronto is (-5) unaffected from the opening line. The total has risen two points to 207. The consensus is 61 percent are betting on the Raptors and 59 percent on the over. Houston is (-6) up a half-point from the first available line with a total of 215.5 up from 214. Sixty-two percent are investing on the home chalk, with a surprising 54 percent taking the under.

A free pick tonight is a premium play from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com.
BOSTON (MILEY +117) Tampa (Archer)

We have an early season underdog angle with very specific parameters that has won 207.4 units. Please note: the reason the units jumped is I more accurately identified as underdog including laying up to -104 because they are underdogs as opposed to pick or plus after juice as previous units won was based. Also we redefined early season based on game number rather than month. Also starting pitchers with an ERA above 10.00 who are not getting at least 130 are solid bets at 236-212 for +14.2 units.

Oh that is far from impressive and does not even quality as corroborating data, but it does tell us not to be deterred by the rough start by Wade Miley. Tampa has lost three straight. Tampa is 1-5 at home -4.2 units hitting just .202. Road team is 3-0 in Chris Archer’s starts this season. Wade Miley is 2-0 to Tampa with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 1.050. Archer is 1-4 to Boston with an ERA of 6.03 and a WHIP of 1.805. Rays are 1-7 in Archers last 8 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The free winner is on the Red Sox. Joe Duffy’s Picks keeps winning. We are 66-54 with 55 underdog winners. Yes after 120 picks we have more underdogs that have won than all picks combined have lost. In fact 18 winners were of 130 or more.

Get more info and winners at OffshoreInsiders.com

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